Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035
2025-01-05 0.000014 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047
2025-01-12 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000060
2025-01-19 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000047 0.000073
2025-01-26 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000052 0.000090
2025-02-02 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000036 0.000059 0.000111
2025-02-09 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000023 0.000037 0.000065 0.000133
2025-02-16 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000039 0.000072 0.000164
2025-02-23 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000042 0.000082 0.000209
2025-03-02 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000044 0.000093 0.000263
2025-03-09 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000046 0.000100 0.000317
2025-03-16 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000047 0.000108 0.000380
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000049 0.000120 0.000482
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000133 0.000620
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000051 0.000141 0.000755
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000052 0.000152 0.000943
2025-04-20 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000053 0.000165 0.001218
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000056 0.000186 0.001711
2025-05-04 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000057 0.000201 0.002289
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000060 0.000226 0.003414
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000064 0.000263 0.005891
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000025 0.000067 0.000301 0.010621
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000069 0.000328 0.017672